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Morning News

Gallup Poll: Bush Stretches to 13-Point Lead Over Gore

Aired June 27, 2000 - 9:25 a.m. ET

THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED.

DARYN KAGAN, CNN ANCHOR: A new poll shows Texas Governor George W. Bush widening his lead over Vice President Al Gore in the race for the White House. Bush will be on campaign trail near Detroit today for a speech on overhauling the welfare system. Vice President Gore continues his "Progress and Prosperity Tour" with a stop in Philadelphia. That's where he will unveil his plan for reducing U.S. dependence on oil imports and protecting the environment.

BILL HEMMER, CNN ANCHOR: Let's go inside those numbers that show the Bush campaign picking up steam, and for more, Gallup Poll Editor in Chief Frank Newport, live up in Princeton, New Jersey.

Frank, good morning to you.

FRANK NEWPORT, EDITOR IN CHIEF, GALLUP POLL: Good morning, Bill.

In fact, George W. Bush has increased his lead over Al Gore, although basically it's a continuation of really what we've seen all year. This is the graph of: Who would you vote for? among likely voters. That top line is George W. Bush, the bottom line is Vice President Al Gore.

The lead goes up and down, but basically from January up until this past Sunday night it's been George W. Bush who's ahead. Sometimes he's ahead by more, sometimes less. In our most recent poll he's actually now up by 13 points, which is as high as we've seen it since back in January. So clearly, George W. Bush is enjoying, at least right now, a good spell -- a good view from the voters.

Couple of things may have affected these numbers, and let's look at them. One of them would be the publicity, particularly last Friday, surrounding the call on Attorney General Reno that she appoint a special counsel to look into Gore's '96 fund-raising activities; may have had an impact. Back in April we said: Did Gore do something unethical or illegal relating to the '96 fundraising? and it was about split, but this past weekend when we re-asked it, it's up to 51 percent who say yes, and about 23 percent say he did nothing wrong. So clearly, there's more belief on the part of the public now that Gore might have done something wrong, which could be fueling the numbers we saw.

Also the death penalty. Big news last week had to do with Governor Bush's handling of that controversial death penalty case in his state of Texas. This is very interesting, we asked people: Do you happen to know where Bush and Gore stand? and about 55 percent said yes, they think Bush favors the death penalty, which he does, the rest don't know.

The key here for Al Gore, nobody in America knows where he stands on the death penalty. this big bar over here shows 2/3 of Americans say: we don't know where Gore stands on the death penalty. In fact, I think he does favor it. That may actually help Bush, because 2/3 of Americans support the death penalty and, as we'll show you here, when we ask people: Do you favor or oppose Bush's handling of the death penalty, you can see 49 percent approve. So it may be that George W. Bush, in charge in Texas when the execution took place, might have actually benefited some from that. That's where the public stands right now on election 2000.

Bill and Daryn, back to you.

HEMMER: All right, Frank, thank you.

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