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Morning News

Gallup Poll: Buchanan's Unfavorables Continue to Rise as Standing Sinks Among Likely Voters

Aired August 10, 2000 - 9:39 a.m. ET

THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED.

ANDRIA HALL, CNN ANCHOR: The Reform Party convention in Long Beach, California has turned into a bit of a fight between supporters of founder Ross Perot and backers of Pat Buchanan.

Well, let's take a look now at the public's perception of Buchanan by checking in with Gallup Poll editor in chief Frank Newport, who is standing by now in Princeton, New Jersey.

This is an interesting one, Frank.

FRANK NEWPORT, EDITOR-IN-CHIEF, GALLUP POLL: Indeed, it is. I think Pat Buchanan's greatest hope, assuming he gets the nomination, is that the American public will change its mind in some radical fashion. Because every time he has run, from '92, '96, and currently, he has a significantly more unfavorable than favorable opinion from the American public.

This is -- that top line -- his unfavorable rating. That is the 1992, 55 unfavorable; '95, 56; and in our most recent poll just a few weeks ago, 49 percent unfavorable. So each time, every year, it really has not changed a lot, the public in general has a more negative than positive opinion of Pat Buchanan.

He does best among Republicans, even though he left the party this year. This is our most recent poll with a 39 percent favorable. But they are generally going to vote for their candidate, that is always the case, 90 percent plus.

Independents are where a third party candidate really has to pull votes, and you can see he has a significantly more negative than positive opinion there. That's a real hurdle for Pat Buchanan.

And of course the vote, we have been including him in several of our ballots in year, and he is getting 1 percent of the vote now, which is not a lot, we have to say. He actually had 4 percent in April, but every poll, most recently, just 1 percent. Ralph Nader, of the Green Party, has actually been doing better as a third party candidate with 4 percent.

Pulling in 1 percent in the summer just is not a lot. We can give you a historical perspective to that Andria, it is very interesting. These are three, third party candidates who have done well historically. But in the summer of '68, Wallace was pulling in 19 percent in our poll; in the summer of 1980, John Anderson was pulling in 14 percent; and before he dropped out the first time in '92, Ross Perot was pulling in about a third of the vote.

These are the candidates that went on to have at least somewhat of a substantial showing in November. The fact that Buchanan is just getting 1 percent now wouldn't auger well for a real strong showing come November.

That is where the public stands. Back to you in Atlanta.

HALL: Interesting numbers. Frank, thank you so much.

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